Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.001594 0.001694 0.001797 0.001911 0.002034 0.002163 0.002310
2025-02-23 0.001446 0.001585 0.001736 0.001909 0.002105 0.002320 0.002575
2025-03-02 0.001310 0.001471 0.001648 0.001860 0.002106 0.002386 0.002730
2025-03-09 0.001213 0.001387 0.001585 0.001826 0.002115 0.002452 0.002879
2025-03-16 0.001150 0.001337 0.001553 0.001823 0.002154 0.002550 0.003066
2025-03-23 0.001088 0.001283 0.001511 0.001803 0.002167 0.002614 0.003211
2025-03-30 0.001040 0.001242 0.001482 0.001794 0.002192 0.002691 0.003372
2025-04-06 0.000990 0.001194 0.001442 0.001769 0.002194 0.002735 0.003490
2025-04-13 0.000942 0.001148 0.001401 0.001739 0.002185 0.002764 0.003588
2025-04-20 0.000885 0.001087 0.001339 0.001678 0.002132 0.002730 0.003596
2025-04-27 0.000866 0.001074 0.001336 0.001695 0.002182 0.002835 0.003800
2025-05-04 0.000854 0.001070 0.001345 0.001726 0.002253 0.002971 0.004054
2025-05-11 0.000852 0.001080 0.001375 0.001792 0.002379 0.003197 0.004465
2025-05-18 0.000823 0.001054 0.001356 0.001788 0.002408 0.003290 0.004686
2025-05-25 0.000781 0.001007 0.001307 0.001742 0.002374 0.003287 0.004760
2025-06-01 0.000746 0.000971 0.001271 0.001711 0.002359 0.003311 0.004876
2025-06-08 0.000724 0.000950 0.001255 0.001708 0.002385 0.003396 0.005094
2025-06-15 0.000699 0.000923 0.001229 0.001689 0.002386 0.003443 0.005251
2025-06-22 0.000678 0.000903 0.001212 0.001681 0.002403 0.003514 0.005452
2025-06-29 0.000654 0.000876 0.001185 0.001658 0.002394 0.003544 0.005585
2025-07-06 0.000630 0.000849 0.001156 0.001631 0.002378 0.003559 0.005691
2025-07-13 0.000599 0.000811 0.001109 0.001574 0.002312 0.003491 0.005647
2025-07-20 0.000590 0.000804 0.001109 0.001590 0.002362 0.003616 0.005955